I spoke with American University Professor Allan Lichtman who has a near-perfect 40-year track record for predicting the winner of the presidential election. He explained how patterns in the political environment can accurately predict the election much better than polls, why you cannot predict elections by what’s happening in swing states, why it's governing not campaigning that counts, and tells us his 13 true-or-false questions that he says hold the “keys” to the White House.

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